{"id":170573,"date":"2025-07-12T01:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-12T07:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/confidencial.digital\/sin-categoria\/less-venezuelan-oil-worse-for-the-cuban-regime\/"},"modified":"2025-07-14T00:00:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T06:00:40","slug":"less-venezuelan-oil-worse-for-the-cuban-regime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/confidencial.digital\/en\/english\/less-venezuelan-oil-worse-for-the-cuban-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"Less Venezuelan Oil, Worse for the Cuban Regime"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A quarter of a century ago, the signing of an oil agreement between Havana<\/a> and Caracas underpinned the survival of the Cuban model. After the end of the Soviet subsidy<\/a>, Hugo Chavez filled the vacuum left by the Kremlin and became the greatest patron of Castroism. <\/p>\n\n

However, that hefty support, of some 55,000 barrels of crude oil per day (bpd), has been dwindling over time. In June 2025, only 8,000 bpd arrived on the island. With that historic low, nervousness is spreading through the regime\u2019s upper echelons. <\/p>\n\n

If 25 years ago, the guarantee of having oil from Venezuela<\/a> slowed down the timid economic reforms undertaken by Fidel Castro, the current decline in the arrival of tankers from the South American country now directly threatens the system\u2019s survival.<\/p>\n\n

At a time of extreme economic fragility for the administration of Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel and with a summer that has already begun with occasional popular protests, the lack of fuel is even undermining the repressive apparatus\u2019s ability to respond.<\/p>\n\n

There\u2019s not just a gasoline shortage affecting the movement of shock troops against protesters\u2014like those in neighborhoods such as Guanabacoa in Havana who have recently staged pot-banging demonstrations over long blackouts. Political propaganda is also suffering from the lack of oil. <\/p>\n\n

State media have drastically reduced their on-the-ground coverage; the spokespeople for the Plaza de la Revoluci\u00f3n, despite their privileges, are also suffering from the effects of power outages on telecommunications. Even the police are struggling to deploy patrols across Cuba.<\/p>\n\n

The Regime Becomes More Fragile<\/h2>\n\n

A government forced to maintain an inefficient and sprawling network of ministries, institutions, and official entities becomes very fragile when it lacks the resources to sustain the systems of subsidies and clientelism that keep it afloat. The oil deficit affects not only its capacity to generate electricity, but also its ability to wage the ideological battle. <\/p>\n\n

Even the once-impressive cyber combat force that harassed independent journalists and activists on social media has been hit hard by the decline in Venezuelan shipments.<\/p>\n\n

Little remains of that swarm of clarias\u2014as they are popularly called, referring to an invasive catfish species that devours everything in its path through Cuban rivers. Trained to repeat slogans and overwhelm forums debating island issues, the digital militiamen have faded from sight in step with the depletion of the country\u2019s crude oil reserves. <\/p>\n\n

No matter how many perks they receive, the fuel crisis is hitting them hard. With telecommunications antennas shut down, official media servers offline, and air conditioning units in ministry offices no longer working, that army of virtual fighters has been significantly diminished. <\/p>\n\n

On the Malec\u00f3n wall, Havana residents gather at sunset to escape the heat, scanning the horizon for any sign of light. It might be a ship loaded with fuel coming to ease their daily hardships. The same gesture\u2014only more desperate\u2014is repeated from the windows of the offices and residences of Cuba\u2019s ruling elite. <\/p>\n\n

*This article was originally published in Deutsche Welle (DW)<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A quarter of a century ago, the signing of an oil agreement between Havana and Caracas underpinned the survival of the Cuban model. After the end of the Soviet subsidy, Hugo Chavez filled the vacuum left by the Kremlin and became the greatest patron of Castroism. However, that hefty support, of some 55,000 barrels of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":170503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_eb_attr":"","_eb_data_table":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15445],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-170573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe less Venezuelan oil, the worse for the Cuban regime<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The current decrease of Venezuelan oil tankers directly threatens the existence of the regime in Cuba.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/confidencial.digital\/en\/english\/less-venezuelan-oil-worse-for-the-cuban-regime\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" 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